Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 3.233576 3.776288 4.397757 5.165509 6.093188 7.183769 8.571546
2025-01-26 2.553030 3.281794 4.215765 5.516469 7.306428 9.720697 13.288255
2025-02-02 2.170621 2.968993 4.070634 5.734099 8.239758 11.969103 18.127433
2025-02-09 1.924309 2.766105 3.999123 5.989418 9.224607 14.466989 24.021887
2025-02-16 1.702538 2.548723 3.850709 6.073274 9.928814 16.657088 30.052200
2025-02-23 1.536069 2.382922 3.743905 6.186792 10.683434 19.089649 37.290784
2025-03-02 1.370696 2.191281 3.559725 6.124433 11.096100 20.975860 44.059807
2025-03-09 1.261859 2.076177 3.483386 6.234094 11.845816 23.701970 53.649329
2025-03-16 1.145471 1.931614 3.332356 6.172390 12.232685 25.756352 62.429291
2025-03-23 1.051112 1.813682 3.212015 6.147128 12.685983 28.074048 72.842660
2025-03-30 0.957794 1.686251 3.056230 6.021676 12.888420 29.847918 82.506350
2025-04-06 0.901428 1.621239 3.011905 6.123311 13.636746 33.205957 98.562842
2025-04-13 0.813175 1.495226 2.850430 5.989740 13.916339 35.778745 114.893553
2025-04-20 0.781522 1.479002 2.916709 6.403938 15.751858 43.630606 156.508914
2025-04-27 0.739951 1.436045 2.918036 6.663005 17.259398 51.220403 204.174463
2025-05-04 0.705720 1.403297 2.935763 6.967088 19.003701 60.498940 269.326751
2025-05-11 0.661340 1.342563 2.879864 7.067043 20.172289 68.388755 337.057936
2025-05-18 0.623806 1.292015 2.839899 7.202419 21.511255 77.733815 425.964969
2025-05-25 0.578643 1.218580 2.733641 7.128045 22.126843 84.502163 508.797033
2025-06-01 0.548638 1.176613 2.699381 7.258850 23.530244 95.707780 643.427624
2025-06-08 0.511817 1.114219 2.604184 7.185240 24.158816 103.721037 768.335289
2025-06-15 0.480523 1.061671 2.527521 7.155110 24.961224 113.261667 928.909656
2025-06-22 0.447248 1.000710 2.420379 7.005534 25.238273 120.261230 1081.580252